Archive for March, 2011

Windy and showers today. Snow possible this weekend!

March 31, 2011

Wind and showers for us today. This weekend a chance with rain changing to snow and cooler temperatures! Try to stay dry this weekend.

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High winds continue today and Thursday!

March 30, 2011

High Winds Expected!

We are getting the expected high winds today that will continue through Thursday. It’s all ahead of a complex weather system for the weekend that should begin as rain Saturday and more likely snow on Sunday along with cooler temperatures.

Keep an eye on our web page for current wind statements and weather advisories.

In the meantime we are dodging blowing cardboard, garbage cans and wearing jackets despite the 50+ degree temperatures!

Be safe and careful during this period of high winds!

Fred

March will whimper out like a lamb, but gusty winds.

March 29, 2011

The series of disturbances that continue to roll through Montana from the west will continue, meaning a chance of rain and snow showers. But until Friday high temperatures remain in upper 40’s to mid 50’s,  which is about where they belong this time of the year.

The first weekend in April appears to be arriving a little cooler with a chance of rain and snow showers. Just the pattern we can expect as we transition from winter to spring. It is taking it’s time arriving this year it seems to me.

The bright spot in the weather is the snow melt being slowed down because of the cooler temperatures. If we saw 70+ degrees with all the snow in the mountains and along the Hi-Line there would be much more flooding. That temperature would also encourage rain showers instead of snow. Rain on snow only speeds up the melting process.

The areas of most concern for flooding already in a couple of weeks is the community of Harlem.  Agriculture interests in that area have already been encouraged to move equipment and livestock to higher ground. To a much lesser degree streams and creeks around Havre have a chance of flooding if temperatures get too high and stay warm at night.

So we can just hope for a gradual warm up and melting that can be controlled by managing the reservoirs.

As a side note ahead of the weekend weather system we can expect strong winds along the Rocky Mountain Front Thursday and Friday.

 

High Wind Warning - NWS

Clouds with some spring showers!

March 28, 2011

We woke up to cloudy skies this morning and right on schedule in Great Falls we started to see some afternoon clear with sunshine helping to push the high into the 40’s. Helena on the other hand had more clouds with some showers between Cascade and Helena, but nothing very organized.

 

Looking northeast toward Downtown

Stormy looking at the Helena Sleeping Giant

A slow poke of a weather system will allow some snow to fall in eastern Montana and the western Dakotas today, but moving out of the area tonight.

Pacific weather patters will continue to bring a chance of snow or rain showers the first half of the week, but temperatures begin to gradually warm up as soon as Tuesday as well.

Finally the 50’s coming. That sound more like Spring. Enjoy!

Fred

 

Snow later, but shovels may not be needed!

March 25, 2011

Freezing rain last night changed to light snow but warm enough to melt the streets later in the morning. Some snow fall is likely in Central and Southwest Montana through this evening. The best bet from the computer models is new snow will be less than 2 inches and 4″-8″ in the mountains above 7,500 feet.

I was ready to do battle with the snow plow Saturday morning but that may not be necessary as it warms up enough for the snow to melt itself.

A few outdoor plans around the yard this weekend but part of the time will be spent clearing off my desk at home (or trying to make more progress). It is amazing how much paperwork accumulates that needs to be shredded so you can fill the file cabinet up again!

I hope you have a great weekend!

Fred

Clouds keep us cooler with some showers possible.

March 24, 2011

Clouds and fog have kept our temperatures lower than expected today. The chance of moisture increases tonight and Friday as the next weather system approaches. The best chance for showers from this storm should be across Wyoming and in the higher elevations. The active weather pattern will keep temperature down until late in the weekend.

Chances of snowfall and amounts

Overnight a 40% chance of rain and snow, changing to snow as it cools off with a low around 25.

Friday mostly cloudy with some light morning snow and potential afternoon rain showers with a high in the upper 30’s.

Saturday mostly cloudy with low 40’s. A chance of rain and snow, with little accumulation expected.

Sunday partly sunny with a few showers. High near 45.

Monday partly sunny and slightly warmer with a few showers, high in the mid 40’s.

Tuesday mostly sunny with the high near 50.

Wednesday partly sunny with lower 50’s and scattered showers.

I hope you have a great day and see you at 10 pm. No 5:30 news due to the NCAA basketball on CBS.

Fred

Woke up to the sound of birds and cloudy skies. Now it’s sunny!

March 23, 2011

Our PrecisionCast showed a break in the clouds this afternoon and we are enjoying the sun pop out from behind the clouds. It makes it feel more spring-like! Birds are building nests and looking for building material.

We do see another storm developing over Utah that should move into Montana by tomorrow. The result is a chance of rain or a rain and snow mix but the temperatures do not look all that cold. It really looks like the southern areas of the state will get most of the moisture.

There are dirty cars and trucks everywhere from the 1″-2″ of snow that we saw this week, the self-melting stuff for us though so no shovel needed.

In visiting with folks from north of us along the Hi-Line it is very different with major amounts of snow piled up and drifts of snow. A very hard winter for that area and it seems to want to continue. The latest storm is exiting the state and tapering off, but it leaves behind snow and a lot of drifting snow. In fact the Glasgow National Weather Service canceled the Winter Storm Warning for their area at 2 pm today!

We need to keep on our toes and watch for high stream flows this spring for sure!

Enjoy your day!

Fred

Snow totals being reported tonight!

March 22, 2011

Columbus            17.1″

Red Lodge           12.8″

Crystal Lake        9″

Sidney                    9″

Bozeman               7″

Ryegate                 6.5″

Rudyard               6″

13 N Chester       6″

Grass Range        6″

Cut Bank               5″

10 SSE Highwood  5″

Glasgow                4.7″

Nashua                  4″

Valier                     4″

 

First full day of spring and getting ready for heavy snow!

March 21, 2011

Spring is officially here, but that is only by the calendar. We traditionally get our heavier, wet snow in March, April and even May. So this is an important storm to pay attention to.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1235 PM MDT MON MAR 21 2011

NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN GLACIER-HILL-CASCADE-
CHOUTEAU-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-TOOLE-LIBERTY-
EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-
EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-MEAGHER-
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...BROWNING...MARIAS PASS...
LOGAN PASS...CUT BANK...HAVRE...GREAT FALLS...KINGS HILL PASS...
BIG SANDY...FORT BENTON...FLESHER PASS...HELENA...LINCOLN...
MACDONALD PASS...ROGERS PASS...SHELBY...CHESTER...CONRAD...
CHINOOK...CHOTEAU...FAIRFIELD...STANFORD...JUDITH GAP...
LEWISTOWN...LEWISTOWN DIVIDE...WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS
1235 PM MDT MON MAR 21 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING AND MAIN IMPACT: LIGHT SNOW AND MIXED SNOW AND RAIN IS
  EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON.
  HEAVIER SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT.
  TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT COULD CAUSE
  HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. EXPECT POOR VISIBILITIES IN THE
  SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
  INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE PLAINS WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
  OF 12 TO 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS.

* OTHER IMPACTS: GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH BY
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
  SNOW AND FURTHER CONTRIBUTE TO THE POOR VISIBILITIES.

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE: FAIRFIELD...CHOTEAU...CHESTER...
  WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...STANFORD...JUDITH GAP...LEWISTOWN...
  LEWISTOWN DIVIDE...SHELBY...CHINOOK...BIG SANDY... FORT
  BENTON...BROWNING...MARIAS PASS...LOGAN PASS...CONRAD...
  HAVRE...CUT BANK...GREAT FALLS...KINGS HILL PASS... FLESHER
  PASS...HELENA...LINCOLN...MACDONALD PASS... ROGERS PASS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND
WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

Showers this weekend. Heavy snow possible next week!

March 18, 2011

The last day of winter is Saturday and the atmosphere will be unstable enough that we could hear the rumble of thunder during the afternoon and some rain showers. The first day of spring is Sunday at 5:21 pm local time!

There is a storm brewing bringing moisture in from the west and colder temperatures from the north. Heavy, wet, spring snow is possible with this storm that will effect the northern sections and southwest parts of the state the hardest. Computer models are still at odds over the tracking of this storm, but at least you should be prepared for it.

Beginning Monday evening into Wednesday seems to be the time line. Some areas could see 6″ to 12″ of snow with the potential of up to an inch or water content. Here are some notes from the Glasgow/Billings National Weather Service briefing this afternoon. When it refers to significant warming they are are referring to 60’s and 70’s. We will return to the low 50’s later next week. Stay tuned for the latest forecasts this weekend as the storm tracking becomes more clearer!

Fred

NWS Probable moisture content totals. Subject to change!